Cov txheej txheem:
- 1. Xav txog qhov muaj hmoo thiab tsis txhob kwv yees koj lub peev xwm ntau dhau
- 2. Siv qhov kev xav ntau
- 3. Tsis txhob cia siab rau qhov kev xav
2024 Tus sau: Malcolm Clapton | [email protected]. Kawg hloov kho: 2023-12-17 03:58
Nws hloov tawm hais tias lub notorious intuition yog heev overestimated, thiab peb, ntawm qhov tsis tooj, undeservedly sau tawm koob hmoov.
Hauv poker, koj yuav tsum tau txiav txim siab tas li, thiab txoj hauv kev ntawm kev yeej yog nyob ntawm seb lawv raug. Cov kev paub ntawm cov kws tshaj lij thiab tus yeej Liv Boeri qhia tau hais tias hauv lub neej tiag tiag txhua yam zoo ib yam. Hauv nws TED, nws qhia cov lus zais los pab koj txiav txim siab paub thiab ua tiav.
1. Xav txog qhov muaj hmoo thiab tsis txhob kwv yees koj lub peev xwm ntau dhau
Zoo li hauv poker, tsis yog txhua yam hauv lub neej nyob ntawm peb. Hmoov zoo kuj cuam tshuam qhov yuav ua tiav ntawm kev lag luam tshwj xeeb. Xav txog koj tus kheej li ib tug neeg txawj ntse, sau ntawv tawm ntawm hmoov zoo, yog qhov yuam kev loj thiab txaus ntshai. Txhawm rau ua pov thawj qhov no, Liv muab piv txwv hauv qab no.
Nyob rau hauv 2010, nws yeej European Poker Ncig saib tom qab tsuas yog ua si tiag rau ib xyoos. Tus ntxhais muaj kev ntseeg siab rau nws lub peev xwm uas nws tau tso tseg kev kawm poker thiab pib sib tw nrog cov neeg ua si zoo tshaj plaws hauv ntiaj teb, muaj kev pheej hmoo ntau dua. Tom qab poob ntau dua nyob rau xyoo tom ntej, Liv thaum kawg pom tau tias nws tau kwv yees nws lub peev xwm ntau dhau.
Tib neeg nyiam ua kom muaj hmoo zoo thaum txhua yam mus zoo. Yog li ntawd, nyob rau lub sijhawm zoo li no, nws yog ib qho tseem ceeb uas yuav tau nug koj tus kheej yog tias qhov no yog koj tus kheej tiag tiag, thiab tsis yog hmoov zoo xwb.
2. Siv qhov kev xav ntau
Cov ntsiab lus tsis txaus ntseeg hauv kev npaj yog qhov phem li lawv nyob hauv poker. Qhov kev ua si yog tsim los ntawm qhov tshwm sim thiab qhov tseeb, yog li koj tsis tuaj yeem hais tias "Lawv nyob nraum bluffing." Vim li no, koj tuaj yeem poob nyiaj ntau heev. Hloov ntawm cov lus tsis meej, koj yuav tsum ua kom koj tus kheej xav txog cov lej.
Qhov tshwm sim ntawm txhua qhov xwm txheej tuaj yeem qhia tau tias yog feem pua, tab sis hauv kev nkag siab ntawm txhua tus neeg nws yuav txawv. Liv nug nws cov thwjtim Twitter tias lawv txhais li cas los ntawm "tej zaum," thiab qhov tshwm sim yog nyob nruab nrab ntawm 10% thiab 90%.
Yog li lwm zaus koj xav hais tias "tej zaum" lossis "qee zaus," siv cov lej siv cov lus. Tsis zoo li cov lus paub daws teeb meem, lawv tau pom los ntawm tus neeg sib tham tsis txaus ntseeg.
3. Tsis txhob cia siab rau qhov kev xav
Kev sib raug zoo yog tag nrho ntawm cov duab txhawb nqa nrog cov lus hais xws li "Mloog koj lub siab" lossis "Ts siab rau koj qhov kev nkag siab thib rau thiab tsis txhob ua xyem xyav". Muaj qee qhov tshwj xeeb, qhov no tsis ua haujlwm hauv poker lossis hauv lub neej. Peb qhov kev xav tsis zoo tag nrho raws li peb xav tau.
Daim duab saum toj no qhia txog cov poker zoo tshaj plaws hauv ntiaj teb. Thiab koj tuaj yeem pom los ntawm lawv tias cov neeg no tau ua tiav qhov siab, siv deb ntawm kev xav thiab kev xav, tab sis ua tib zoo tsom xam thiab kev tsim nyog.
Intuition yuav tsum tsis txhob ignored, tab sis nws yuav tsum tsis txhob overestimated ib yam. Nws ua haujlwm hauv txhua hnub uas koj tau ua ntau zaus, tab sis tsis haum rau qee yam tseem ceeb. Koj tuaj yeem siv koj qhov kev xav thaum sim nres rau hauv qhov chaw nruj, tab sis nws yog qhov zoo dua los tso siab rau kev ua kom zoo thiab kev txheeb xyuas tseeb thaum xaiv txoj haujlwm lossis tus khub.
Yog tias koj txaus siab rau lub ntsiab lus no, cov lus hais tag nrho muaj nyob ntawm TED.
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